
Thanks to Sportable
I’m feeling quite industrious today as I look to wrap up division midseason reports and starting writing my weekly picks column. Let’s take a look at the NFC South. 7 down 1 to go after this one. This division has always had a weird history and with 3 teams over .500, this division could be the one that ruins the coronation of the NFC East and their goal of getting three teams into the playoffs. Spoilers live in the NFC South.
Carolina Panthers ( 7 – 2 )
Just when you think they won’t make the playoffs and start the season without Steve Smith, John Fox has this team poised to make a playoff run. what an interesting year for the division leaders. The offense finally has the balance they desire. The running games of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart have been effective while giving run defenses headaches. The return of Mushin Muhammad has been key to Steve Smith returning to his old form. The balance has allowed Jake Delhomme to look like the quarterback that took them to the Super Bowl. The defense has been the one consistent thing on this team. Who else would allow their quarterback to get away with throwing 4 interceptions and holding a team to 6 points. If I have one concern about this it, it is their offensive consistency. There have been games (Minnesota, Oakland and Tampa Bay) where the offense has sputtered. If this trend continues, it could cost them the division, maybe even a playoff spot.
Rest of the Season:They should win 4 more games (Detroit, New Orleans, Green Bay & Denver) while losing 3 (Giants, Bucs, Falcons). This will put them at a respectable 11 – 5.
Playoffs: They’re better than 9 – 7, so they’re in. In this year’s NFC 9 wins might get you into the playoffs, 10 guarantees it. They’ll have 11. The only questions are if they’ll win the division and will they get a bye. A trip to the NFC championship game for the division winner is not out of the question.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers ( 6 – 3 )
This is not your typical 6-3 team. The defense has been solid for the Bucs this season. The offense however is a different story. The running game has been decent, but the receiving core is weak. Joey Galloway has lost a few steps and the old gray mare ain’t what she used to be. Jeff Garcia is a decent quarterback but he’s not the cream of crop. This team puts 30 one week and fails to score a touchdown the next. They also have a tendency to play down to their competition, losing to Dallas and need a comeback for the ages against Kansas City. One thing about the Bucs, they never lose big.
Rest of the Season: I like them to go 5 – 2 for the season. Their schedule is not terribly difficult. They will beat Carolina and Atlanta as well as Oakland, Detroit and New Orleans. They should lose in San Diego and at home against Minnesota. This will put them at 11 – 5 and will ensure that only 1 NFC East team will make the playoffs.
Playoffs: Their stellar record against the division will give them the title and a home game in the playoffs. The bye will determine on how much Arizona dominates the NFC West. I also expect to see them in the NFC Championship game. The only question is can they beat a divisional rival three times in the same season
Atlanta Falcons ( 6 – 3 )
I am on the Mike Smith, Matt Ryan and Atlanta Falcons bandwagon. Matt Ryan is not your typical rookie quarterback, but this goes back to the adage that rookie quarterbacks with good running games succeed in the NFL. Michael Turner is an excellent pickup, taking the pressure of Ryan. Roddy White and Michael Jenkins have been reliable receivers for the rookie. The defense has held its own for the first nine games and I look for them to same much of the same. WIth the Falcons, what you see is what you get, a well balanced offense with a well balanced defense.
Rest of the Season:I like this team. I like them to go 5 – 2 the rest of the way finishing with a record of 11 – 5. I like them to beat Denver, Carolina, San Diego, Minnesota and St. Louis while losing to Tampa Bay and New Orleans.
Playoffs: 11 wins gets them in and earns Mike Smith coach of the year honors. They will have to play a wild card game on the road because they will likely lose the division on tiebreakers.
New Orleans Saints ( 4 – 5 )
Could the league’s MVP come from a team with a losing record? Drew Brees is having a great season despite the fact that he is getting no help from his teammates. Some can’t catch the ball, some can’t stay healthy. Acquiring Jeremy Shockey looks to be a bust. He’s injured, then Brees has to put him in his place. This isn’t New York, Shockey can’t intimidate a quarterback who’s been there longer than him. You have to love those Miami loudmouth tight ends with minimal production. The injuries to Bush & Colston have greatly affected this team as they did have playoff potential going into this season.
Rest of the Season: The Saints will go 3-4 (beating Atlanta, Kansas City, Detroit while losing to Tampa Bay, Carolina, Green Bay & Chicago) the rest of the season to end the season at 7 – 9. Even if Bush comes back, I’m not sure it’ll be enough to put them in playoff contention. .
Playoffs: Not likely.
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